The poll reports Gov. Tom Wolf leading Scott Wagner 46% to 43%. Sen. Bob Casey leads Rep. Lou Barletta 47% to 45%.
The polling, conducted via IVR interviews from Aug. 13-15, included 2,012 likely voters.
I have never heard of the Commonwealth Leaders Fund and a google search came up empty. A link to the poll Topline View.
I have been reading polls for years and this one is ridiculous. The cross tabs show that Trump has positive favorable rating. 53% of those polled identified as either very conservative or somewhat conservative. Only20% polled considered themselves very liberal or somewhat liberal.
They used the dubious method of IVR.
To give you an example I told the last IVR poll that I got that I'm a 30 something Female Asian American who is a life long Republican but will vote for all the Democrats this fall.
The real polls:
| RCP Average | 4/4 - 6/25 | -- | -- | 48.0 | 32.0 | Wolf +16.0 |
| Suffolk | 6/21 - 6/25 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 49 | 36 | Wolf +13 |
| Franklin & Marshall | 6/4 - 6/10 | 472 RV | 6.5 | 48 | 29 | Wolf +19 |
| Morning Call | 4/4 - 4/12 | 414 RV | 5.5 | 47 | 31 | Wolf +16 |
| RCP Average | 4/4 - 6/25 | -- | -- | 46.3 | 30.3 | Casey +16.0 |
| Suffolk | 6/21 - 6/25 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 47 | 32 | Casey +15 |
| Franklin & Marshall | 6/4 - 6/10 | 472 RV | 6.5 | 44 | 27 | Casey +17 |
| Morning Call | 4/4 - 4/12 | 414 RV | 5.5 | 48 | 32 | Ca |
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