The poll reports Gov. Tom Wolf leading Scott Wagner 46% to 43%. Sen. Bob Casey leads Rep. Lou Barletta 47% to 45%.
The polling, conducted via IVR interviews from Aug. 13-15, included 2,012 likely voters.
I have never heard of the Commonwealth Leaders Fund and a google search came up empty. A link to the poll Topline View.
I have been reading polls for years and this one is ridiculous. The cross tabs show that Trump has positive favorable rating. 53% of those polled identified as either very conservative or somewhat conservative. Only20% polled considered themselves very liberal or somewhat liberal.
They used the dubious method of IVR.
To give you an example I told the last IVR poll that I got that I'm a 30 something Female Asian American who is a life long Republican but will vote for all the Democrats this fall.
The real polls:
|RCP Average||4/4 - 6/25||--||--||48.0||32.0||Wolf +16.0|
|Suffolk||6/21 - 6/25||500 LV||4.4||49||36||Wolf +13|
|Franklin & Marshall||6/4 - 6/10||472 RV||6.5||48||29||Wolf +19|
|Morning Call||4/4 - 4/12||414 RV||5.5||47||31||Wolf +16|
|RCP Average||4/4 - 6/25||--||--||46.3||30.3||Casey +16.0|
|Suffolk||6/21 - 6/25||500 LV||4.4||47||32||Casey +15|
|Franklin & Marshall||6/4 - 6/10||472 RV||6.5||44||27||Casey +17|
|Morning Call||4/4 - 4/12||414 RV||5.5||48||32||Ca|